Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 868.344966 984.619435 1115.244423 1273.750132 1462.071063 1680.142256 1953.922856
2025-03-16 693.358550 843.734561 1028.948626 1277.402357 1607.497631 2039.136242 2660.257050
2025-03-23 608.402288 773.666902 989.447037 1298.614560 1741.921749 2373.966152 3381.209465
2025-03-30 528.002721 693.212890 918.362454 1257.344259 1772.906123 2560.441965 3926.264392
2025-04-06 467.751853 630.201325 859.480612 1219.235797 1794.552857 2727.943951 4475.241335
2025-04-13 417.893799 575.156796 803.667994 1174.933565 1794.828153 2855.237191 4982.488527
2025-04-20 397.195680 559.560608 803.170481 1214.704414 1936.446370 3249.672864 6112.490408
2025-04-27 373.593199 536.750467 788.303741 1227.780317 2032.498444 3580.143595 7224.501077
2025-05-04 353.591897 517.276396 776.084025 1242.721561 2133.068340 3940.443608 8539.613250
2025-05-11 335.008953 498.157635 762.097298 1252.006114 2223.418178 4299.691069 10002.245201
2025-05-18 324.654374 491.239827 767.448753 1296.560169 2391.218362 4870.976062 12315.486652
2025-05-25 312.417599 480.027351 764.054816 1323.752796 2527.366046 5405.612663 14820.419742
2025-06-01 297.725912 464.080933 751.835524 1334.389120 2634.975066 5916.131652 17633.874140
2025-06-08 281.605278 444.510566 731.436008 1326.405761 2700.301010 6341.152117 20475.399723
2025-06-15 271.296481 434.200045 726.906134 1350.319856 2845.931638 7041.021380 25039.367024
2025-06-22 253.570881 409.349353 692.778149 1306.737467 2816.131953 7209.687759 27373.797379
2025-06-29 237.885136 387.144150 661.923191 1266.750862 2788.815500 7381.057973 29917.630792
2025-07-06 222.792039 365.090923 629.706433 1220.247381 2736.793251 7459.086853 32077.999799
2025-07-13 218.551018 362.771631 636.054544 1261.990250 2932.764733 8463.891311 41027.183400
2025-07-20 211.634960 354.943678 630.662827 1275.718267 3053.497655 9251.874436 49888.374571
2025-07-27 205.373978 347.932213 626.322625 1291.407138 3183.923038 10140.332320 61281.759449
2025-08-03 198.966603 340.218433 619.879483 1301.157537 3299.061989 11025.685854 74765.790054
2025-08-10 196.180146 339.363164 627.783786 1347.960495 3543.171173 12618.172858 100417.671762